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Quotes Attributable

All quotes attributable to Dr Thami Croeser, academic urban planner at RMIT Centre for Urban Research.


Human impact

“We are looking at an acute, structural failure of urban design that leaves millions of people completely unprotected in their own homes. The data shows that over 80% of dwellings in a great city like Paris or Madrid simply do not have the bare minimum shade required to survive a modern heatwave safely. When a severe heatwave hits, a lush park three blocks away is too far away to help an apartment building surrounded by baking tarmac.”

There is a serious equity aspect to this problem

“Heat waves do not discriminate, but our urban infrastructure absolutely does. In every city where we could get both heat and income data (11 of our 25 cities), the data reveals a brutal trend: poorer neighborhoods consistently have less canopy cover and are exposed to the highest temperatures. Urban shade has effectively become a luxury commodity, and it is costing public health.”

Shade needs to be close to home to keep you safe

“We mapped 5.5 million buildings at a hyper-local 60-meter radius because that is the critical zone where trees actually protect human health. City-wide canopy averages hide a dangerous deficit. If you don’t have a tree canopy within 60 meters of your doorstep, the cooling effect is practically negligible.”

A generational issue

“The brutal reality of urban forestry is that a tree planted today won’t shade a building for twenty years. The catastrophic heatwaves crushing Europe right now were locked in when trees were not planted adequately a generation ago. Every single mature street tree we cut down or fail to maintain right now is completely irreplaceable on any timeline that matters to human survival.”

What we can do about it

“If we want to stop our cities from becoming dangerous heat traps, urban planners, designers, engineers and foresters have to clear three basic hurdles: trees must be planted close to where people actually live, they must be given the soil volume and water they need to thrive instead of being choked in asphalt pits, and we must legally protect the mature canopies we already have. Right now, most major cities are failing all three.”

It’s not a space or density problem

“For years, the excuse has been that we can’t have trees because our cities need to be dense, and there isn’t space for trees. Even this quick study exposes how shaky that assumption is. When you compare neighborhoods with the same urban density, the areas that have lots of mature trees are up to 10 degrees cooler than the hotspots next door. Density isn’t the killer here; concrete prioritization is.”

 

RMIT Centre for Urban Research
Unpublished analysis by Dr Thami Croeser, June 2026